With Parliament being recalled and MP's expected to give the go ahead for a limited air strikes operation in Iraq, to disrupt cash flows and degrade the effectiveness of the terrorist group IS(IS) (said to have a daily financial inflow of $30 million...) Long haul civil aviation operations are already being affected, and many flights rerouted, and some codeshares cancelled, writes Julian Bray Aviation Security Expert.
Its not only the Middle East but also several other countries including Algeria that are immediately affected, and to a lesser extent the whole of what the terrorist group IS call the Caliphate.
There is also the feeling that before long, the limited authority given to the UK military will have to be extended, 'Gulf War 3' some of the red top newspapers have dubbed it.
And you seriously wonder why the 700 or so warplanes sold to Saudi Arabia by the UK (a mixture of Tornados and Typhoons) have not already been immediately employed rather than UK based Typhoons setting out from Norfolk, UK to Cyprus?
It is being said that although the USA has been 'in theatre' for some seven weeks, not an inch of territory has so far been given up by the terrorist group. Nor has a Saudi warplane been seen....
Mercifully no British troops on the ground, and the planners are hoping that regional troops directly affected will supply the manpower.
But however you look at it, this will not be a short term operation and the effects will impact on the aviation industry for years to come. Expect to see some well known brands either merge or go out of business.
Long haul air holidays will be substantially more expensive, but conversely the cruise industry is predicting a boom and cannot churn out mega cruise ships fast enough, which in turn is good for the German economy and shipbuilders such as Meyer Werft GmbH, who pioneered the totally undercover dock and the module 'lego' style of construction and fast completion of the new breed of cruise ships... cabin or stateroom modules, for example, are fully fitted out, off site several miles away, then JIT (just in time) delivered and 'plumbed in' as required....
JULIAN BRAY [ 01733 345581 ], Journalist, Broadcaster, Aviation Security &Operations, Travel / Cruise Industry Expert, Writer and Coach EQUITY, NUJ, Broadcast ISDN changed number 01733 345020) SKYPE: JULIAN.BRAY.UK e&oe A later updated version is always on the Website